With the market hitting new all-time highs, the microcap world has been on fire recently with many large movers such as ITUS Corporation (ITUS), Walter Investment Management Corp. (WAC) , FalconStor Software, Inc. (FALC), Future FinTech Group Inc. (FTFT), Medigus Ltd. (MDGS), SeaDrill (SDRL), Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc. (HMNY) and Capricor Therapeutics Inc. (CAPR). But there are two that stand out to us as having the best chance for sustained runs because their news releases announced improved financials and expectations of profits in upcoming quarters. Those two companies are Staffing 360 Solutions, Inc. (STAF) and Nova Lifestyle Inc. (NVFY).
STAF is one that we have been watching very carefully since announcing a Transformative $40 Million Refinancing and Closing of Two New Acquisitions. The result is that the company will double its adjusted EBITDA to $11 million and increase annualized revenue to $265 million. That makes its market cap when trading at $0.83 look minuscule. STAF was $20 in 2014 but dropped under $1.00 and well below its book value upon the fear of bankruptcy. The refinanced $40 million 3-year note alleviates that concern for now.
The deal at first seemed too good to be true. So we waited until the appropriate SEC filings were made, as well as a letter from the CEO that outlined the details of the deals:
The key takeaway from this chart is that only 2.75 million shares were issued to make it all happen. Total shares outstanding are about 18.3 million which means the market cap of STAF is only $15 million at $0.83. Senior companies in the staffing industry such as Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) trades at a 6.6x revenue multiple and Salesforce.com, inc. (CRM) trades at a 7.2x revenue multiple. Even Robert Half International Inc. (RHI) trades at 1.1x revenue multiple on the low end of the range. So a $15 million market cap with expected annualized revenue of $265 million means that STAF trades at less than a 0.1x revenue multiple. With alleviated liquidity issues, trading at 10 times below the lowest larger industry peer is far too cheap.
But you don't have to believe us and our straightforward math. STAF rejected a buyout offer from Jackson Investment Group for $1.10 per share earlier this year. With the two companies converging on a debt deal, clearly both company management and Jackson believe that STAF is worth more than $1.10. Investors have the chance to buy in the $0.80's, a 20-30% discount to that minimum threshold price.
NVFY is up around 15% to about $1.60 so far today after announcing that "third quarter profit has increased substantially compared to the prior year period. Based on a preliminary review of third quarter results, Nova anticipates robust third quarter financial performance driven by an increase in consumer demand and new product launches". Q3 2016 featured an EPS of $0.01 including an EPS from continuing operations of $0.04. Q2 2017 showed EPS of $0.02 versus a loss of $0.02 in Q2 2016. If Q2 showed a 4 cent EPS improvement and the company felt the need to press release the fact that Q3 2017 will be substantially better than Q3 2016, EPS must be at a minimum $0.05 for Q3 2017, but could be $0.10 or more. The last time NVFY pulled in a quarter in excess of $0.10 per share EPS was in 2014 when the stock was trading at $5 to $10 before declining financials caused it to tank to where it is today. The stock could rebound quickly to that mark if it proves that changes to its business model have resulted in permanently stronger financial performance. In the short term, the stock price should at least be able to rise above $2.00 in anticipation of the Q3 results.
If you like our picks make sure to follow our blog by clicking the follow button on the top of the left hand panel. We are up to 290 followers despite not giving out a lot of alerts, a fact that we think is indicative of a diligent and prudent stock picking history. If you would like to share this blog, make sure to use the URL "nasdaqnewsreports.blogspot.mx" as certain spam filters on social media don't let you post blogspot.com addresses.
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STAF is one that we have been watching very carefully since announcing a Transformative $40 Million Refinancing and Closing of Two New Acquisitions. The result is that the company will double its adjusted EBITDA to $11 million and increase annualized revenue to $265 million. That makes its market cap when trading at $0.83 look minuscule. STAF was $20 in 2014 but dropped under $1.00 and well below its book value upon the fear of bankruptcy. The refinanced $40 million 3-year note alleviates that concern for now.
The deal at first seemed too good to be true. So we waited until the appropriate SEC filings were made, as well as a letter from the CEO that outlined the details of the deals:
The key takeaway from this chart is that only 2.75 million shares were issued to make it all happen. Total shares outstanding are about 18.3 million which means the market cap of STAF is only $15 million at $0.83. Senior companies in the staffing industry such as Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) trades at a 6.6x revenue multiple and Salesforce.com, inc. (CRM) trades at a 7.2x revenue multiple. Even Robert Half International Inc. (RHI) trades at 1.1x revenue multiple on the low end of the range. So a $15 million market cap with expected annualized revenue of $265 million means that STAF trades at less than a 0.1x revenue multiple. With alleviated liquidity issues, trading at 10 times below the lowest larger industry peer is far too cheap.
But you don't have to believe us and our straightforward math. STAF rejected a buyout offer from Jackson Investment Group for $1.10 per share earlier this year. With the two companies converging on a debt deal, clearly both company management and Jackson believe that STAF is worth more than $1.10. Investors have the chance to buy in the $0.80's, a 20-30% discount to that minimum threshold price.
NVFY is up around 15% to about $1.60 so far today after announcing that "third quarter profit has increased substantially compared to the prior year period. Based on a preliminary review of third quarter results, Nova anticipates robust third quarter financial performance driven by an increase in consumer demand and new product launches". Q3 2016 featured an EPS of $0.01 including an EPS from continuing operations of $0.04. Q2 2017 showed EPS of $0.02 versus a loss of $0.02 in Q2 2016. If Q2 showed a 4 cent EPS improvement and the company felt the need to press release the fact that Q3 2017 will be substantially better than Q3 2016, EPS must be at a minimum $0.05 for Q3 2017, but could be $0.10 or more. The last time NVFY pulled in a quarter in excess of $0.10 per share EPS was in 2014 when the stock was trading at $5 to $10 before declining financials caused it to tank to where it is today. The stock could rebound quickly to that mark if it proves that changes to its business model have resulted in permanently stronger financial performance. In the short term, the stock price should at least be able to rise above $2.00 in anticipation of the Q3 results.
If you like our picks make sure to follow our blog by clicking the follow button on the top of the left hand panel. We are up to 290 followers despite not giving out a lot of alerts, a fact that we think is indicative of a diligent and prudent stock picking history. If you would like to share this blog, make sure to use the URL "nasdaqnewsreports.blogspot.mx" as certain spam filters on social media don't let you post blogspot.com addresses.
Disclosure: We are long STAF and NVFY
If you're interested in making money investing or trading the stock market, here are some good resources to assist you. This includes technical analysis, investing in the weed sector, dividend stock investing, gold and commodities, sector rotation, options trading and microcap trading strategies.
Click Here for Microcap Millionaires Free Video: How To Score Up To 1,400% Gains With "Weed Stocks" in 2017
Learn How to Maximize the Dividend Return of Your Portfolio With Access to a List of the Top 100 Dividend Stocks
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